Totten argues that Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon is a good precedent for a future US withdrawal from Iraq. The reason? It undermined Hezbollah and has led to a general improvement in Israel’s strategic position in Lebanon. Putting aside whether that is true, I simply don’t understand how:
1. Anyone can claim that the cases are remotely comparable;
And then there is, of course, the key conditional in the essay:
The propaganda victory for both the Sunni Arab insurgents and the terrorists from outside the country could turn into a pyrrhic one. There is such a thing, after all, as a tactical retreat. It could work to our advantage if we don’t do it prematurely, if the Iraqi government really is strong enough to mop this up on its own.
Because, you know, there are all those people out there who say a US pullout would be a really bad thing even if the Iraqi government could defeat the insurgency on its own.
Filed as: Iraq